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NFL Home Field Notes

It’s probably not talked about as much as home court in basketball and even college football, but teams in the NFL often have significant home advantage and road commitments. Emotions are a key part of sports. Even though NFL players are professional athletes who are paid to perform to the best of their ability, playing well in front of their home fans is really more important than playing well on the road.

There was no more stark example this season than the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are off to a 4-1 SU/ATS start at home allowing just 7 points per game! However, they allow 22 points per contest on the road, which explains the 1-3 SU/ATS road mark. In fact, the offense has 8 more points per game at home.

Hometown fans are the ones who basically pay their salaries. No player wants to give 50% and lose badly in front of their home crowd. In addition, other factors can affect a team’s performance at home or on the road. The Chiefs have a great home crowd, and for years oddsmakers have priced the Chiefs at a slightly larger advantage at home considering the line. Even with new coach Herm Edwards this year, the Chiefs are 2-3 SU/ATS on the road, but 3-1 SU/ATS at home.

The Broncos also enjoy a unique home advantage, not only from the great fans, but also from the thin air of the Colorado mountains. Denver’s players are used to practicing and playing in thinner, cooler air, while some opponents are not.

Another factor to keep in mind is the playing surface. Dick Vermeil built the Rams in the late 1990s with speed at WR and RB in mind. His spread offense, along with then-offensive coordinator Mike Martz, was based on speed, which worked better on the artificial playing surface in the St. Louis Dome. Louis. In 2004, the Rams were 6-2 SU at home, but 3-7 SU/ATS on the road. They’ve put up 26 points per game at home this year (2-1-1 overall), but a touchdown less on the road (2-3 under). The old Greatest Show on Turf is far less on grass.

Note that the Buffalo Bills have been a very different team at home than they have been on the road the past two seasons. They were a .500 home team last year, but just 1-6 on the road. The same thing is happening this year, we start 2-2 at home but 1-4 away. Last season Buffalo started 3-1 SU/ATS at home but 0-3 SU/ATS on the road. It’s not just QB JP Losman’s issues, the entire team seems to have wrapped it up away from home.

Note the geographic location of a team like the Seahawks, who play in the northwest corner of the US in Seattle. A team in a city like that has a longer road to road games, and they already have a long way to go in Detroit. Seattle started 4-1 SU at home with the winning spread, but 0-4 against the number on the road. That was the case a year ago when they had long trips to Jacksonville, Washington and also to St. Louis. The Seahawks have started 1-2 Su/ATS on the road and 4-0 at home! Seattle’s offense continues to play best at home. As for the overall bettors, keep in mind that the Seahawks are 14-9 “over” overall in their last 23 home games.

The worst road team continues to be the Lions, who allow 33 points per game away from home (0-4 SU/ATS) and Oakland (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS). The Raiders are averaging just 7 points per game away from home! They average over double the points at home with their Bed and Breakfast offense, giving fans at least something to cheer about.

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